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Whatever can go wrong, will go wrong.
If both scientific research and political debates over such questions seem to drag on endlessly, surely one reason is that we have the wrong expectations of science. Our common belief is that scientific truth is a unitary thing — there is one fact of the matter, that’s why the light always goes on when I flip the switch. But trans-scientific questions often reveal multiple truths, depending in part on what aspects of an issue scientists decide to do research on and how they go about doing that research. There is no point in asking who is right in such cases; the best we can hope for is to understand why experts are disagreeing, which often hinges on highly technical choices about how to carry out research and analyze data, not to mention the hidden biases that help determine those choices. Consider the question “Are genetically modified crops more productive than conventional crops?” Some researchers prefer to answer this question by looking at field trials that allow variables like weather and soil type to be carefully controlled. Others prefer surveys of actual farms, because they reflect real-world variability. These two approaches often yield , and there is no way of adjudicating based on the data which of the two provides a better guide to the future.
In my life success is obtained by trying my best at everything. I am in high school, and if I want to get good grades, I need to try my best. The times I do not get the grade I want, I look back and realize I could have tried harder. I am also in sports, and there is always room for improvement. I do not take a loss lightly. It goes back to trying harder in practice and focusing in the game. If I give it my all and obtain success, I can walk away with the greatest feeling in the world. I work on my farm, and if I do not try my best working, things would not get done as fast or well. Many things can go wrong if I do not focus and do a good job. I have to be hard working to get through life. If I do not try my best, I will get lazy and not care how good of a job I do. If I try my best, I will be able to reach my full potential. Many people that lose at sports or lose their job just do not try their best and that is good enough for them. That will not help them later in life either.
Whatever can go wrong, will go wrong.
In response to Guy Markle. Sir you have got it wrong. Zionism is about returning to the Jews’ eternal home, it was a dream, now it is a reality. All Jews may return if they so desire. To try to equate Zionism with Nazism is a wicked transgression because Zion is in the heart, it doesn’t mean that other people should be eliminated (sic). You may say that the arabs have suffered, that’s true, but they have been fed an impossible dream, that the Jews (Israel) can be defeated and the land ‘from the river to the sea’ can be theirs again (it never was theirs in the first place, just look at history Ottoman Empire, British Mandate etc.) They have turned down offers of peace over and over again. Israel tried withdrawing from Gaza in the hope of a peaceful settlement, but we all know what happened with the rise of Hamas. So Mr Markle I suggest you educate yourself on the subject before commenting.
I have a lot of Jewish ancestry and I fully support Israel, but the behavior of many Jews is really embarrassing, so much so that I keep my Jewish forbears to myself. People like Bernie Sanders and William Kristol are prime reasons why. How dare they call themselves Jews and be such traitors to Israel and their own people? Then you have clowns like the fat pigs at Gold and Silver Pawn in Las Vegas, on TV displaying their greed and gluttony, “Hardcore Pawn” in Detroit run by extremely obnoxious and greedy Jews…
Keep Jews like that off of Television and start running reality shows of Jewish doctors helping the poor for free, Jewish American patriots, Jewish athletes aiding the disabled, ANYTHING positive instead of this stream of greedy Jews and treasonous Jews and Communist Jews.
will go wrong and whatever can go right, will probably go wrong …
But the branch of the that readers might find most interesting led to humans. Humans are in the phylum, and the last common ancestor that founded the Chordata phylum is still a mystery and understandably a source of controversy. Was our ancestor a ? A ? Peter Ward made the case, as have others for a long time, that it was the sea squirt, also called a tunicate, which in its larval stage resembles a fish. The nerve cord in most bilaterally symmetric animals runs below the belly, not above it, and a sea squirt that never grew up may have been our direct ancestor. Adult tunicates are also highly adapted to extracting oxygen from water, even too much so, with only about 10% of today’s available oxygen extracted in tunicate respiration. It may mean that tunicates adapted to low oxygen conditions early on. Ward’s respiration hypothesis, which makes the case that adapting to low oxygen conditions was an evolutionary spur for animals, will repeatedly reappear in this essay, as will . Ward’s hypothesis may be proven wrong or will not have the key influence that he attributes to it, but it also has plenty going for it. The idea that fluctuating oxygen levels impacted animal evolution has been gaining support in recent years, particularly in light of recent reconstructions of oxygen levels in the eon of complex life, called and , which have yielded broadly similar results, but their variances mean that much more work needs to be performed before on the can be done, if it ever can be. Ward’s basic hypotheses is that when oxygen levels are high, ecosystems are diverse and life is an easy proposition; when oxygen levels are low, animals adapted to high oxygen levels go extinct and the survivors are adapted to low oxygen with body plan changes, and their adaptations helped them dominate after the extinctions. The has a pretty wide range of potential error, particularly in the early years, and it also tracked atmospheric carbon dioxide levels. The challenges to the validity of a model based on data with such a wide range of error are understandable. But some broad trends are unmistakable, as it is with other models, some of which are generally declining carbon dioxide levels, some huge oxygen spikes, and the generally relationship between oxygen and carbon dioxide levels, which a geochemist would expect. The high carbon dioxide level during the Cambrian, of at least 4,000 PPM (the "RCO2" in the below graphic is a ratio of the calculated CO2 levels to today's levels), is what scientists think made the times so hot. (Permission: Peter Ward, June 2014)
I feel that your observation of the validity of idealogical warfare isvalid one. But i think that you fail to see the truth behind it, that IT is the warfare of the future. An idea can churn out an infinite number of children strapped with suicide bombs. Sending a military force in to crush an idea is foolish and naive at best. But what happens if you sent in a kind of viral meme bomb that would overtake the ideas of the people and bend them towards being less antagonistic, or worse, destroying themselves? I tend to view this war through machiavellian tinted glasses, and i think that while you are right about the fact that the idealogical war on america has been somewhat succesful, it hasn’t crippled our reaction to terrorism. If anything it has taught us an important lesson.
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Whatever can go wrong will go wrong essay - Uni essay
But what led to English success in North America, more than anything else, was the energy-rich continent that they stumbled into. Intact forests and soils were long gone in Europe, and seemingly virgin lands were there for the taking, as long as the natives were removed. Soon after the USA achieved its independence from Great Britain, during a meeting of English and American diplomats, a British diplomat noted that despite their many similarities, among them their common heritage, the Americans at that meeting were all about a foot taller than their British counterparts. Colonial New Englanders lived several years longer than their British counterparts. The rich soils of North America grew larger people than Europe’s depleted soils, and Americans always had one of humanity’s longest life expectancies. That was largely why they could .
How Did Economists Get It So Wrong
The genetic testing that has been performed on humanity in the past generation has shown that the founder group’s pattern of migration was to continually spread out, and once the original settlement covered the continents, people did not move much at all, at least until Europe began conquering the world (and there were some ). There is little sign of warfare in those early days of migration, and the leading hypothesis is that people moved to the next valley rather than be close enough to fight each other. Any conflict would have been easily resolved by moving farther out, where more easily killed animals lived. Also, in those virgin continents, people need not have roamed far to obtain food. Today, an !Kung woman will carry her child more than 7,000 kilometers before the child can walk for himself/herself. If an !Kung woman bears twins, it is her duty to pick which child to murder, because she cannot afford to carry two. That demonstrates the limitations of today’s hunter-gatherer lifestyle, but in those halcyonic days of invading virgin continents (which had to be the Golden Age of the Hunter-Gatherer), those kinds of practices probably waned and bands grew fast. When they they split, and the new group moved to new lands where the animals, again, never saw people before. Unlike the case with humans, there would not have been a grapevine so that animals told their neighbors about the new super-predator. The first time that those megafauna saw humans was probably their last time. It is very likely, just as with all predators for all time, and as can be seen with historical hunting events such or , that those bands soon took to killing animals, harvesting the best parts, and moving on. To them it would not have been a “blitzkrieg,” but more like kids in candy stores. After a few thousand years of grabbing meat whenever the fancy took them, or perhaps less, those halcyonic days were over as the far coasts of Australia were reached and the easy meat was gone. When that land bridge formed to Tasmania about 43 kya, people crossed and were able to , until all the megafauna was gone on Tasmania. They also may have worked their way through the food chain, in which the first kills were the true mother lode. Nobody even deigned to raise a spear at anything less than a until they were gone. Then they started killing smaller prey, which eventually did wise up and were harder to kill, so humans had to work at it again and the brief golden age was over. The as they shaped the new continent to their liking, maybe recreating the savanna conditions that they left in Africa, may have also been used to flush out animals if they began to avoid humans.
How Murphy's Law Works | HowStuffWorks
Many years ago, after surviving my FE adventures, beginning to understand the milieu, and trading notes with fellow travelers, I began to suspect that what I had experienced on the mundane level of was only a hint of something far more vast, even putting aside . I received the impression that the was divine in nature, and that if a sentient species did not approach the issue with sufficient divine intention, then it could not access the field or access it for long. The GCs might be doing humanity a favor by acting as some kind of integrity threshold that humanity must clear before the path to FE will open. Ten or a hundred like Brian combining their efforts and humanity would have had FE by now, but there are probably not that many like them on Earth. I began to suspect that the problem was really a lack of integrity and enlightenment, in ways that go far beyond practical notions of those issues. I have consequently been trying to walk and advocate the enlightenment route. Mine is more from an activist/academic perspective, not a messianic or mystical master approach, or the hero’s journey. But the , at least those that the , I believe can be highly relevant. Some kind of spiritual grounding is probably necessary to pursue FE, but I would not advocate receiving it through organized religions. If is understood as the best of all possible feelings, and acts from the heart are recognized as the most powerful that we can achieve, that is probably sufficient spiritual understanding, and may be . Anything less than a divinely intended approach toward FE may not work, for reasons that go far beyond organized suppression or the public’s inertia. That is just something that slowly dawned on me, which I cannot prove to anybody, but it guides my thinking and efforts. Also, have stated that the means the ends, which is consistent with what I learned during my adventures, has guided me from the beginning, and is likely why I survived my journey as long as I have.
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